{"id":28631,"date":"2019-10-01T07:22:24","date_gmt":"2019-10-01T07:22:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/v2.ecomnewsmed.com.ecn-01.ovea.com\/2019\/10\/01\/what-is-the-impact-of-syrian-refugees-on-the-turkish-economy\/"},"modified":"2020-08-11T11:35:51","modified_gmt":"2020-08-11T09:35:51","slug":"what-is-the-impact-of-syrian-refugees-on-the-turkish-economy","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.ecomnewsmed.com\/en\/2019\/10\/01\/what-is-the-impact-of-syrian-refugees-on-the-turkish-economy\/","title":{"rendered":"What is the impact of Syrian Refugees on the Turkish Economy ?"},"content":"\nAccording to the Directorate General Migration Management (DGMM), 3.56 million of Syrian refugees are registered under temporary protection in Turkey since September 2018. This number corresponds to 64.1% of total Syrian refugees in the country and their number increased more than fifteen fold between 2013 and 2017.\u00a0\n\u00a0The Turkish government eased the access of basic facilities for refugees and approved extending their work permits and residence permission. However, the number of Syrian refugees employed informally is estimated at around 650,000 which corresponds to around 40 percent of the active population of Syrian refugees in Turkey.\nThrough their research project entitled \u201cthe long-term impact of Syrian refugees on Turkish economy: an input-output simulation\u201d, researchers Ramon Mah\u00eda Casado and\u00a0Ahmet Ali Koc aim to estimate the economic impacts of Syrian refugees within the frame of production and consumption sides.\u00a0\n\u00a0\nWhat are the key figures ?\u00a0\n\u00a0\nAccording to the med brief :\u00a0\u00ab The total value-added impact generated by the occupations of Syrian refugees in the Turkish economy was an estimated\u00a027.2 billion TL\u00a0at the end of 2017, representing\u00a01.96%\u00a0of total Turkish GDP.\u00a0\nMeanwhile, the production effect is estimated at\u00a01.51% of GDP\u00a0for 2017. This impact assumes an increase in production of\u00a030.59 billion TL\u00a0across different sectors, generating 20.9 billion TL of value added.\nInduced demand effect accounts for the rest of global impact, for\u00a00.45%\u00a0of GDP in 2017. This effect implies new production estimated at around\u00a011.7 billion TL, generating\u00a06.2 billion TL\u00a0in value added and is essentially produced by direct consumption and investment of Syrian population; the direct effect is estimated at\u00a00.3%\u00a0of GDP for 2017.\u00a0\nNative employment induced by Syrian economic integration (from both production and demand effects) was an estimated\u00a0132,454 persons\u00a0in 2017.\u00a0\u00bb\n\u00a0\nSyrian immigration in Turkey is \u00ab\u00a0a factor of economic dynamism\u00a0\u00bb\nThe FEMISE researchers stress that the impact of Syrian economic integration in Turkey would moderately increase then would accelerate between 2023 and 2028. A phenomenon due to the growth pattern of Syrian working age population and employment.\n\u00ab This means that the annual economic impact of Syrian integration will double, from 1.96% of GDP in 2017 to\u00a04.05% of GDP in 2028.\u00a0At the end of the simulation period, the number of Syrian workers is estimated at around 1 million and induced national employment generated by Syrian integration would reach a total of 265 thousand Turkish employees.\u00a0\u00bb\u00a0\nIt appears that there are more employment opportunities for the Syrian refugees\u00a0in manufacturing, energy, construction, transport and storage and service sectors.\u00a0\nFinally, \u00a0Ramon Mah\u00eda Casado and\u00a0Ahmet Ali Koc considered that Syrian immigration in Turkey is\u00a0\u00ab a factor of economic dynamism\u00a0\u00bb\u00a0, not only beneficiary to the Syrian community but also to the Turkish host communities.\nRegarding the policy implications, the authors conclude that, with the help of the international community (ex. the European Union, etc,) and proper medium-term planning that takes into account the positive effects of a genuine labour participation of Syrian refugees in Turkey, a future of true socio-economic integration is possible with minimal friction.\nThey add that, enhancing the employment opportunities of Syrian refugees would be beneficial, through improving their education and skill level, local language competency, their awareness about legal obligations and opportunities and their entrepreneurial skills by facilitating their work permits and investment opportunities, particularly in the sectors that were found to be more productive from this exercise.\nMeanwhile, Promoting labour integration and facilitating the start-up of small businesses would reduce the pressure on public assistance resources in many cities and towns. This policy can also alleviate the resource competition between nationals and immigrants and can control the stigmatization of the immigrant population.\nThis article was produced in collaboration with Femise.\u00a0\nThe Policy Brief is available\u00a0here\n","author":83,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","template":"","tags":[5766,5751,5767,2961,5760,5750,5759,5762],"location":[],"class_list":["post-28631","news","type-news","status-publish","hentry","tag-economic-analysis","tag-economy","tag-expert-opinion","tag-institutions","tag-mediterranean-exchanges","tag-news","tag-politics","tag-trending"],"short_url":"","have_related_news":null,"chapo":"Turkey is the country that hosts the largest refugee population in the world, more than 3.5 million refugees, since the beginning of Syrian civil war in 2011. In a Policy Brief released recently, two researchers from Femise considered the long-term impact of Syrian Refugees on Turkish Economy.","media":null,"media-news-header":null,"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>What is the impact of Syrian Refugees on the Turkish Economy ? - Ecomnews Med<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"According to the Directorate General Migration Management (DGMM), 3.56 million of Syrian refugees are registered under temporary protection in Turkey\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ecomnewsmed.com\/en\/2019\/10\/01\/what-is-the-impact-of-syrian-refugees-on-the-turkish-economy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"What is the impact of Syrian Refugees on the Turkish Economy ? 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