Les articles de Denys Bédarride
Analysis: Will Egypt be affected economically by the conflict between Israel and Hamas?
If the conflict between Israel and Hamas that began on October 7, 2023 has not led to a real deterioration of Egypt's security situation at this stage, it constitutes a new external shock on an Egyptian economy that is temporarily degraded and structurally fragile. Egypt is already suffering from the slowdown in Israel's economic activity (gas exports) and tourist flows to the region, valuable sources of foreign exchange.
Syria will once again be able to participate in the annual meetings of the World Bank and the IMF
The reintegration of Syria into regional and international bodies continues. A Syrian delegation led by Finance Minister Kenan Yaghi attended the annual meeting of the World Bank and the IMF in Marrakech from October 9 to 15.
Israel is still far from living or organizing a war economy
Only the gas sector has been declared in a “state of emergency”, as gas can produce electricity and therefore desalinated water. The operation of ports and the supply of cities are almost normal. The cost of reorganizations and insurance will, however, be significant for everyone. Measures are also needed to counter the decline in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) already observed before the conflict, the slowdown in consumption and losses in foreign trade.
Conflict in Middle East Could Bring ‘Dual Shock’ to Global Commodity Markets Impact limited so far but energy-market turmoil could intensify food insecurity
Although the global economy is in a much better position than it was in the 1970s to cope with a major oil-price shock, an escalation of the latest conflict in the Middle East—which comes on top of disruptions caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine—could push global commodity markets into uncharted waters, according to the World Bank’s latest Commodity Markets Outlook.
Lebanon-Israel: What are the economic consequences of the conflict in Gaza for these two countries?
The economic consequences for Lebanon of the conflict in Gaza and Israel remain uncertain. In a scenario of widening conflict in Lebanon, the economic implications are difficult to predict because they depend on the level of commitment of the parties. Scenarios and analysis.
Analysis: What is the banking panorama in the Middle East? How are banks evolving?
Banks in the Middle East are characterized by a strong fragmentation of players, although concentration effects are at work. Although the number of banks varies greatly between countries, there are monopolistic tendencies by certain banking groups throughout the region.